Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Dynamics

Ross D. Milbourne, Douglas Purvis and David Scoones

Canadian Journal of Economics, 1991, vol. 24, issue 4, 804-26

Abstract: One of the puzzling features of the recent behavior of the Canadian unemployment rate is its persistence in the presence of a sustained expansion in real national income. Neither deficient aggregate demand nor a once-for-all, supply-side-induced increase in the natural rate provides a convincing explanation of this phenomenon. This paper presents a model that explains how aspects of unemployment insurance in Canada will cause persistence: unemployment will be highly serially correlated even if output is not. The authors document the increased persistence of the unemployment rate since 1977 and show that the model accounts for much of this phenomenon.

Date: 1991
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Working Paper: Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Dynamics (1989)
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