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Dutch disease and the oil boom and bust

Brock Smith

Canadian Journal of Economics, 2019, vol. 52, issue 2, 584-623

Abstract: This paper examines the impact of the oil price boom in the 1970s and the subsequent bust on non-oil economic activity in oil-dependent countries. During the boom, manufacturing exports and output increased significantly relative to non-oil countries. These measures decreased gradually during the bust and subsequent period of low prices, displaying a positive relationship with oil prices. However, exports of agricultural products sharply decreased during the boom. Imports of all types of goods displayed strong pro-cyclicality with respect to oil prices. The results suggest that increased local demand and investment spillovers from the windfall resulted in increased manufacturing activity.

JEL-codes: F14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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