PROFITABILITY RATIO AS A TOOL FOR BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION

Daniel BRÎNDESCU – Olariu
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Daniel BRÎNDESCU – Olariu: West University of Timisoara

SEA - Practical Application of Science, 2016, issue 11, 369-372

Abstract: The current study evaluates the potential of the profitability ratio in predicting corporate bankruptcy. The research is focused on Romanian companies, with the targeted event being represented by the manifestation of bankruptcy 2 years after the date of the financial statements of reference. All tests were conducted over 2 paired samples of 1176 Romanian companies. The methodology employed in evaluating the potential of the profitability ratio was based on the Area Under the ROC Curve (0.663) and the general accuracy ensured by the ratio (62.6% out-of-sample accuracy). The results confirm the practical utility of the profitability ratio in the prediction of bankruptcy and thus validate the need for further research focused on developing a methodology of analysis.

Keywords: Corporate finance; Risk; Failure; Financial ratio; Financial analysis; Classification accuracy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G32 G33 M21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cmj:seapas:y:2016:i:11:p:369-372

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