The need for official reserves in Latin America: Assessing the precautionary motive, 1995-2011

Moritz Cruz

Revista Cuadernos de Economia, 2015

Abstract: In this paper we estimate the demand for official reserves in Latin America during the period 1995-2011. We assume that the main concern of the monetary authorities to demand reserves is the fear of suffering external drains, and its associated output costs. In other words, we attempt to show that the so-called precautionary motive drives the demand for international reserves in the region. Our econometric results confirm that Latin American countries demand ever increasing amounts of foreign exchange to protect themselves against the likelihood of external drains. ***** En este artículo estimamos la demanda de reservas internacionales en América Latina para el período 1995-2011. Asumimos que la mayor preocupación de las autoridades monetarias para demandar reservas es el miedo a las salidas de capital y a sus costos asociados en cuanto al producto. En otras palabras, intentamos demostrar que el motivo precautorio explica la demanda de reservas en la región. Nuestros resultados econométricos confirman que la región demanda crecientes cantidades de divisas para protegerse contra la posibilidad de salidas de capital.

Keywords: International reserves; precautionary motive; financial variables; LatinAmerica; financial openness. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F3 F32 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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