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Adapting Natural Resource Enterprises under Global Warming in South America: A Mixed Logit Analysis

S. Niggol Seo

Economía Journal, 2012, vol. Volume 12 Number 2, issue Spring 2012, 111-142

Abstract: This paper develops an integrated model of adapting natural resource intensive enterprises in Latin America to future climate changes. Based on about 2,000 rural household surveys, we model six specialized and diversified resource enterprises across seventeen land covers. We estimate random coefficients of climatic parameters with a mixed logit model. By 2020, under a hotter and drier CCC scenario, crops-only and cropforests enterprises are predicted to fall by 6.2%, and 0.6% respectively. Offsetting these losses, livestock-only enterprise increases by 5.5% and crops-livestock-forests enterprise increases by 0.7%. These changes magnify over time through 2060 by which time the crops-livestock enterprise increases by more than 5%. Adaptation measures should be designed in a manner that captures the unique characteristics of Latin American ecosystems.

Keywords: Climate Change; Adaptation; Natural Resources; Latin America (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q00 Q10 Q14 Q54 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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