Economic Security and Fertility: Evidence from the Mincome Experiment

Tuna Dokmeci, Carla Rainer and Alyssa Schneebaum

Canadian Public Policy, 2023, vol. 49, issue 2, 136-161

Abstract: Using experimental data, we analyze the relationship between low-income households' economic security and their fertility decisions. Between 1974 and 1977, a randomized controlled trial was conducted in Manitoba, Canada, in which the treatment groups received differing levels of guaranteed annual income. All of the program participants were low-income households. We find positive effects of the program on the probability of childbirth that range between 7 and 10 percentage points.

Keywords: fertility; economic security; public policy analysis; guaranteed annual income; negative income tax (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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