Time series model for predicting the mean death rate of a disease

D. K. Shangodoyin (), A. O. Adebile, J. F. Ojo and J. O. Olaomi

Statistics in Transition new series, 2012, vol. 13, issue 2, 405-418

Abstract: This study develops a time series model to estimate the mean death rate of either an emerging disease or re-emerging disease with a bilinear induced model. The estimated death rate converges rapidly to the true parameter value for a given mean death at time t. The derived model could be used in predicting the m-step future death rate value of a given disease. We illustrated the new concept with real life data.

Keywords: Mean death; bilinear model; Death cases; emerging and re-emerging diseases (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:csb:stintr:v:13:y:2012:i:2:p:405-418

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