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Modeling China Inflation Persistence

Chengsi Zhang and Joel Clovis
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Joel Clovis: School of Economics, and INTO, University of East Anglia

Annals of Economics and Finance, 2009, vol. 10, issue 1, 89-110

Abstract: This paper employs the recently developed structural stability tests with unknown break point and two median unbiased estimation methods to model China inflation persistence over the most recent quarter of a century. Our empirical results suggest that the persistence of both consumer price inflation and retail price inflation has witnessed declines over the most recent period of low inflation, with the reduction in consumer price inflation being more pronounced. The reduced inflation persistence helps to explain the remarkable phenomenon of high economic growth under the low inflation environment in China during the recent decade.

Keywords: Inflation; Inflation persistence; Structural break; Monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E31 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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