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The Impact of Aggregate and Disaggregate Consumption Shocks on the Equity Risk Premium in the United Kingdom

Sunil Poshakwale () and Pankaj Chandorkar ()
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Sunil Poshakwale: Cranfield School of Management, Cranfield University
Pankaj Chandorkar: Newcastle Business School (NBS), Northumbria University

Annals of Economics and Finance, 2019, vol. 20, issue 2, 489-524

Abstract: We examine the impact of aggregate and disaggregate consumption shocks on the ex-post Equity Risk Premium (ERP) of FTSE indices and the 25 FamaFrench portfolios. Findings suggest that aggregate consumption shocks seem to explain significant time variation in the ERP. At disaggregated level, the ERP increases when the actual consumption is less than expected. Finally, durable and semi-durable consumption shocks have a greater impact on the ERP than non-durable consumption shocks.

Keywords: Equity Risk Premium; Consumption Wealth Channel; Consumption Shocks; Structural Vector Autoregression; Asset Pricing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E0 E2 E6 G0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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