Monetary Policy and House Prices at Risk: Evidence from China

Licheng Zhang ()
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Licheng Zhang: Southern University of Science and Technology

Annals of Economics and Finance, 2024, vol. 25, issue 2, 741-753

Abstract: This paper studies the effects of the M2 money supply shock on the down-side risks to house prices in China, using local projections and smooth local projections. We rely on measures of house prices at risk and downside entropy to capture the downside risks to house prices. Our results show that M2 monetary stimulus positively impacts house prices and can help mitigate downside risks to house prices. We investigate the monetary transmission mechanism through investment and find that the monetary stimulus shock boosts investment and benefits house prices. Our results suggest that monetary policy is an effective tool for managing downside risks to house prices in China.

Keywords: China; Monetary policy; House prices at risk; Downside risks; Local projections (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 R30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cuf:journl:y:2024:v:25:i:2:zhang

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