Modelling Extreme Market Events. A Report of the Benchmarking Stochastic Models Working Party

R. Frankland, A. D. Smith, T. Wilkins, E. Varnell, A. Holtham, E. Biffis, S. Eshun and D. Dullaway

British Actuarial Journal, 2009, vol. 15, issue 1, 99-201

Abstract: This paper focusses on some practical issues that can arise when developing methodologies for calculating benchmark figures for extreme market events, particularly in the context of the Financial Services Authority's ICAS regime. The paper limits discussion to equity and interest rate risks. Whilst not intended to constitute formal guidance, it is hoped that the material contained within the paper will be useful to practitioners. The paper acknowledges the role of prior beliefs in the choice of data to be used for modelling and its influence upon the ensuing results.

Date: 2009
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