The marriage age U-shape

Pavel Jelnov

Journal of Demographic Economics, 2023, vol. 89, issue 2, 211-252

Abstract: In this paper, I address the U-shaped dynamics (a decrease followed by an increase) in the age at first marriage during the twentieth century. First, I show that the U-shaped dynamics have been steeper in Western that in other countries. Second, I find that these dynamics in the West are strongly related to the post-World War II (WWII) economic growth. By contrast, in the nineteenth and the first half of the twentieth centuries age of marriage was much less correlated across Western countries. I propose a simple model where age of marriage is a function of search frictions and married women's labor force participation. Both factors put together generate U-shaped dynamics as a result of an industrial boom that mimics the post-WWII Western economic development.

Date: 2023
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Journal Article: The marriage age U-shape (2023)
Working Paper: The Marriage Age U-Shape (2019)
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