Temperature and convictions: evidence from India

Terry-Ann Craigie, Vis Taraz and Mariyana Zapryanova

Environment and Development Economics, 2023, vol. 28, issue 6, 538-558

Abstract: High temperatures have been shown to affect human cognition and decision-making in a variety of settings. In this paper, we explore the extent to which higher temperatures affect judicial decision-making in India. We use data on judicial decisions from the Indian eCourt platform, merged with high-resolution gridded daily weather data. We estimate causal effects by leveraging a fixed effects framework. We find that high daily maximum temperatures raise the likelihood of convictions and these results are robust to numerous controls and specifications. Our findings contribute to a growing literature that documents that the negative impacts of rising temperatures are often more severe in low- and middle-income countries.

Date: 2023
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