TESTING FOR LONG MEMORY IN VOLATILITY

Clifford Hurvich and Philippe Soulier

Econometric Theory, 2002, vol. 18, issue 6, 1291-1308

Abstract: We consider the asymptotic behavior of log-periodogram regression estimators of the memory parameter in long-memory stochastic volatility models, under the null hypothesis of short memory in volatility. We show that in this situation, if the periodogram is computed from the log squared returns, then the estimator is asymptotically normal, with the same asymptotic mean and variance that would hold if the series were Gaussian. In particular, for the widely used GPH estimator [d with circumflex above]GPH under the null hypothesis, the asymptotic mean of m1/2[d with circumflex above]GPH is zero and the asymptotic variance is π2/24 where m is the number of Fourier frequencies used in the regression. This justifies an ordinary Wald test for long memory in volatility based on the log periodogram of the log squared returns.

Date: 2002
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