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The Signaling Power of Specially Designated Dividends

Michael J. Gombola and Feng-Ying Liu

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 1999, vol. 34, issue 3, 409-424

Abstract: We distinguish among the signaling, free cash flow, and wealth transfer hypotheses in explaining the stock price reaction to specially designated dividend (SDD) announcements. In a direct test of the signaling power of SDDs, we find both a larger stock price reaction and a significant upward revision of earnings forecasts for firms with Tobin's q less than one, but not for other firms. Our results support the conditional signaling hypothesis, which predicts greater effects of favorable information for low q firms. Taken together, our results for stock price effects and earnings forecast revisions do not support either the free cash flow or wealth transfer hypotheses.

Date: 1999
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