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Trading in the Options Market around Financial Analysts’ Consensus Revisions

Darren K. Hayunga and Peter P. Lung

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2014, vol. 49, issue 3, 725-747

Abstract: This article investigates the options market around a revision in the financial analysts’ consensus recommendation. The results demonstrate that options investors trade in the correct direction of the upcoming revision approximately 3 days prior to the announcement. We find this behavior in option-implied prices, implied volatilities, and options trading volume. Tests confirm that the options market leads the stock market before the financial analysts’ revision. Moreover, using all firms with outstanding options, an out-of-sample analysis produces a profitable zero-cost trading strategy net of transaction costs based on the relative valuations between the synthetic and the underlying equity security.

Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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