Deviations from Norms and Informed Trading

Alok Kumar and Jeremy K. Page

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2014, vol. 49, issue 4, 1005-1037

Abstract: Investment managers are subject to personal and institutional norms that can constrain their investment choices. We conjecture that norm-constrained investors deviate from such norms only when they have compelling information, and we predict that deviating investments earn relatively high abnormal returns ex post. Consistent with our conjecture, we find that institutions averse to holding lottery-like stocks or sin stocks earn relatively high abnormal returns when they choose to hold such stocks. We find similar but weaker results for deviations from broader style categories. Overall, our evidence indicates that deviations from established institutional or social norms signal informed investing.

Date: 2014
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