Equilibrium multiplicity and uniqueness under inflation targeting
Alexandre B. Cunha
Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2026, vol. 30, -
Abstract:
Macroeconomic models often have multiple equilibria. Nonetheless, a popular view on inflation targeting posits that this policy helps to coordinate agents’ expectations and actions. This paper provides a rationalization for this notion. I consider an infinitely repeated game, built on the Barro-Gordon model, in which the central bank incurs a fixed penalty whenever the actual inflation rate differs from the announced target and study how changes in the penalty impact its equilibria. I conclude that, in consonance with the aforementioned view, an inflation-targeting policy lessens the problem of equilibrium multiplicity. However, by itself, it is unlikely to achieve uniqueness.
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:30:y:2026:i::p:-_43
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