Forecasting Trade Between Oecd Countries and Primary Producers

Anonymous

National Institute Economic Review, 1970, vol. 52, 46-51

Abstract: This note constitutes a second report on work undertaken at the National Institute to assist in the forecasting of exports. Some time ago, an article was published which explained how the regular forecasting of growth rates in real national product of industrial countries was used as a base for providing predictions of the value of trade in manufactures between these countries, and the share of United Kingdom exports to them. The present note describes how an attempt was made to supplement these predictions by a forecast for United Kingdom exports to primary producing countries.

Date: 1970
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