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Impact of Interest Rates on Housing Market in Kenya: A Supply Side

Dr. Naftaly Mose and Joseph Kinuthia
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Dr. Naftaly Mose: Department of Economics, University of Eldoret
Joseph Kinuthia: University of Eldoret

African Journal of Commercial Studies, 2025, vol. 6, issue 5

Abstract: This study investigated the influence of lending interest rates on housing construction and homeownership in Kenya using time series data from 1979–2025. Econometric techniques including unit root tests, Granger causality tests, and the generalized method of moments (GMM) were applied. Results indicated that all variables were integrated of order one, I(1). Findings showed a significant negative relationship between lending interest rates and housing supply, suggesting that rising borrowing costs reduce housing investment and construction activities. The study recommends that policymakers consider regulating lending rates and strengthening financial oversight to promote affordable housing development in Kenya.

Keywords: Interest Rate; Housing Market; Construction Investment; Affordable Housing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cwk:ajocsk:2025-100

DOI: 10.59413/ajocs/v6.i5.7

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