The Changing Landscape of India’s Regional Trade Agreements: Realities and Prospects

Leena Ajit Kaushal

Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2022, vol. 68, issue 2, 95-124

Abstract: Expected gains guide the decision to join trade agreements (TAs). While it is difficult to predict whether the ongoing trade war will result in a significant shift in the global trade paradigm, India’s renewed interest in TAs with numerous developed economies, as well as worsening trade balances with existing TA partners, necessitates a review of India’s current TAs before negotiating new ones. Using a stochastic frontier gravity model, the study evaluates the impact of RTAs (free and preferential; deep and shallow) on India’s export efficiency from 2002 to 2020. The paper also investigates how TA affected Indian exports during the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. The findings demonstrate that India’s preferential and shallow TAs had a maximum export efficiency of 55% between 2002 and 2020. Moreover, shallow TAs demonstrated their resilience in encouraging Indian exports in 2020. Findings reveal that India has failed to fully leverage its deep TAs, which are critical for stimulating commerce, investment, and economic growth. As a result, India must safeguard its interests during the ongoing deep trade talks by focusing on non-tariff barriers and rules of origin to promote exports and harmonize regulatory standards to facilitate FDI-led integration into global GVCs to boost export potential.

Keywords: Stochastic frontier gravity model; trade agreements; behind-the-border constraints; export efficiency; India (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F14 F15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.3790/aeq.68.2.95 (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers (2008 onwards); Pay-per-view access from https://elibrary.duncker-humblot.com/journals/aeq (2008 onwards) and http://www.genios.de (2008 onwards)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dah:aeqaeq:v68_y2022_i2_q2_p95-124

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.duncker-humblot.de/zeitschriften/aeq

Access Statistics for this article

Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) is currently edited by Cinzia Alcidi, Christian Dreger and Daniel Gros

More articles in Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) from Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin
Bibliographic data for series maintained by E-Publishing-Team ().