Banking Crisis Early Warning Model based on a Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

Taha Zaghdoudi

Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, 2016, issue 12(4), 275-288

Abstract: The succession of banking crises in which most have resulted in huge economic and financial losses, prompted several authors to study their determinants. These authors constructed early warning models to prevent their occurring. It is in this same vein as our study takes its inspiration. In particular, we have developed a warning model of banking crises based on a Bayesian approach. The results of this approach have allowed us to identify the involvement of the decline in bank profitability, deterioration of the competitiveness of the traditional intermediation, banking concentration and higher real interest rates in triggering bank crisis.

Keywords: banking crisis; early warning model; bayesian model averaging (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://journals.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/oeconomica/article/view/3238/3459 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dug:actaec:y:2016:i:4:p:275-288

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica from Danubius University of Galati Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Daniela Robu ().