Taxation and Democracy: is there a Bidirectional Causality?

Ofuan James Ilaboya (), Rachael Konyefa Dickson () and Monday Alade Izevbekhai ()
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Ofuan James Ilaboya: University of Benin
Rachael Konyefa Dickson: Niger Delta University
Monday Alade Izevbekhai: Federal Polytechnic Auchi

Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, 2021, issue 17(3), 47-63

Abstract: The study investigates the validity of the positive nexus between taxation and Democracy in developing economy setting with an emphasis on Nigeria. This study is motivated by the counterintuitive trend of the Nigerian tax to GDP ratio, which in current terms is not substantially different from the results of the Middle East economies where there is zero-tolerance for democratisation. This is a country-specific, longitudinal, time-series research strategy with data set from 1980 to 2017. The dichotomous nature of the dependent variable necessitates the use of logistic regression. The result of the analysis shows a mildly positive relationship between tax ratio to GDP and index of democratisation. The alternate variable of indirect tax is negatively related to democratisation, so do the control variables of population growth rate and openness. The control variable of corruption is positive and significant. We recommend a sweeping reform of the Nigeria Tax system, including reengineering the mindset of the Nigerian tax administrators.

Keywords: Democratisation; indirect taxation; reverse sequencing; Openness; Musgravian functions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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