OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE IN SPAIN: IS THE 2008 FINANCIAL CRISIS DIFFERENT?
Isidro Frias
Applied Econometrics and International Development, 2013, vol. 13, issue 2, 15-26
Abstract:
In this paper, the effect of an oil price shock upon the business cycle is revisited. Not long time ago, many researchers maintained that volatility in output growth have reached an end, and that economic stability would be something characteristic of modern societies. However, 2008 economic downturn has brought the question of cyclical crisis and their causes back to the stage. Granger causality tests were applied to quarterly data of Spanish economy since 1970, in order to disentangle the effects of variations in the price of crude oil upon the economy, taking into account the institutional differences that the aforementioned researchers found in the periods before and after the beginning of the 1980´s.
Keywords: exogenous shocks; oil price; business cycle; Spanish economy; Granger causality. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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