ARE SHOCKS TO ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION PERMANENT OR TRANSITORY? EVIDENCE FROM A PANEL STATIONARITY TEST WITH GRADUAL STRUCTURAL BREAKS FOR 25 OECD COUNTRIES
Jamal Husein and
S. Murat Kara
Applied Econometrics and International Development, 2023, vol. 23, issue 1, 57-76
Abstract:
This study re-examines the stationarity properties of per capita electricity consumption for 25 OECD countries during the 1960-2014 period. We apply a newly developed panel stationarity test that models structural shifts as a gradual process via a Fourier function. This Fourier panel stationarity test takes cross-sectional dependence into account and allows heterogeneity across cross-sections in the panel. However, rather than assuming the presence of a structural shift or a nonlinear deterministic component, we formally test the linearity hypothesis of each time-series utilizing a novel test. Moreover, for robustness check, we apply a panel stationarity test incorporating abrupt structural breaks and employ several new panel stationarity tests that complement the Fourier panel test. For the period of study, we find strong empirical evidence supporting stationarity of per capita electricity consumption for the 25 OECD countries. Therefore, shocks to electricity consumption will have a transitory effect as per capita electricity consumption will, after a shock, return to its long-run trend path.
Keywords: Electricity consumption; OECD; Structural breaks; Fourier approximation; Panel stationarity tests (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C20 C22 C23 O53 O55 Q4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)
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