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ECONOMIC INTEGRATION IN NORTH AMERICA

Ramon A. CASTILLO Ponce () and Ramon de Jesus RAMIREZ ACOSTA

Applied Econometrics and International Development, 2008, vol. 8, issue 2, 111-122

Abstract: Formal analysis of economic synchronization in North America is scarce. In this document we conduct an econometric exercise to determine the existence of common movements at short-run and long-run horizons among the gross domestic products of Canada, Mexico and the United States. Cointegration and common features tests suggest a significant degree of economic interdependence. In particular, for the sample period 1980-2006 we identify the existence of a common trend and two common cycles. Interestingly, we find that the North American economies have been highly synchronized since the 1980’s; a common trend and a common cycle are identified for the sub-sample period 1980-1993. We conclude that the signing of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was not the trigger that prompted economic integration, but primarily an event that contributed to strengthen a process that had already begun.

Keywords: economic synchronization; cointegration; comovements. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E31 F4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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