THE MOST RELEVANT VARIABLES TO SUPPORT RISK ANALYSTS FOR LOAN DECISIONS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY

Maria Charlo

Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, 2010, vol. 10, issue 1

Abstract: This paper presents an empirical study about risk analysis using several technologies. We have investigated two fundamental questions: we have analized the results obtained using each specific technology (discriminant analysis, logistic regression, and an artificial intelligence technology) and we have pointed out the most relevant variables for this kind of decision making.The percentage of error when using an artificial intelligence technology allows us to conclude that these intelligent systems are a good support in decision-making for risk analysts from banking entities.The most important variable using an artificial intelligence technology is the firm’s economic situation, followed by firm rating and by firm image.

Keywords: Credit risk analysis; artificial intelligence; CBR; discriminant analysis; logistic regression. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C40 D81 G20 G24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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