¿QUÉ FACTORES DETERMINAN EL DESEMPLEO? UNA APROXIMACIÓN ESPACIAL CON DATOS A NIVEL CANTONAL EN EL ECUADOR. 2001-2010

Violeta Alexandra Alvarez, Christian Iván Largo and César Andrés Mendoza

Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, 2023, vol. 23, issue 1, 73-96

Abstract: El artículo analiza los determinantes del desempleo en el Ecuador desde una perspectiva espacial, utilizando información de 217 cantones obtenida de los censos de población y vivienda del año 2001 y 2010. La estrategia empírica empleada fue la estimación de modelos de corte transversal y datos de panel espaciales, considerando variables relacionadas con la estructura productiva y comercial, las características demográficas y de conocimiento. Los principales hallazgos muestran la existencia de autocorrelación espacial lo que sugiere que la tasa de desempleo de un cantón está influenciada también por las tasas de sus cantones vecinos a través del efecto derrame espacial.

This study uses the 2001 and 2010 population and housing censuses with information from 213 cantons and 4 non-delimited areas of Ecuador to analyze the determining factors that affect unemployment. In developing the proposal, cross-sectional models and panel data are used, and a spatial panel data methodology is emphasized to find these determinants, as well as the spillover effects of unemployment. The variables considered are related to the productive and commercial structure, the demographic characteristics and those of knowledge. The main findings show the existence of spatial autocorrelation, which suggests that the unemployment rate of a canton is also defined by the rates of its neighboring cantons through the spill-over effect.

Keywords: Desempleo regional; derrame espacial; Panel especial. Regional unemployment; spatial spillovers; Spatial Panel. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 C23 E24 R12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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