Economic Bulletin Boxes

2017 - 2025

From European Central Bank
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2025, volume 8

TLTRO III phase-out and bank lending conditions

Francesca Barbiero, Alessandro Ferrari and Franziska Maruhn

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 24 July to 22 October 2024

Yannik Schneider and Kristian Tötterman

Monetary policy pass-through to goods and services inflation: a granular perspective

Anastasia Allayioti, Bruno Fagandini, Lucyna Gόrnicka and Catalina Martínez Hernández

What explains the high household saving rate in the euro area?

Alina Bobasu, Johannes Gareis and Grigor Stoevsky

What are the economic signals from uncertainty measures?

Malin Andersson, Alina Bobasu and Roberto A. De Santis

The effects of the Emissions Trading System on European investment in the short run

Pablo Anaya Longaric, Virginia Di Nino and Vasileios Kostakis

What’s behind the resilience of US equity prices – market structure, earnings expectations or equity risk premia?

Magdalena Grothe, Ana-Simona Manu and Toma Tomov

2025, volume 2

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 23 October 2024 to 4 February 2025

Samuel Bieber and Vladimir Tsonchev

Insights from banks and firms on euro area credit conditions: a comparison based on ECB surveys

Maria Dimou, Annalisa Ferrando, Petra Köhler-Ulbrich and Judit Rariga

Understanding the relative development of goods and services inflation

Catalina Martínez Hernández, Mario Porqueddu, Blanca Prat I Bayarri and Lourdes Maria Zulli Gandur

Euro area rent developments: insights from the CES

Colm Bates, Christian Höynck, Omiros Kouvavas, Desislava Rusinova and Larissa Zimmermann

Using corporate earnings calls to forecast euro area labour demand

Claudia Foroni and Christofer Schroeder

The increasing energy demand of artificial intelligence and its impact on commodity prices

Vlad Burian and Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon

Have euro area exports missed the tech train?

Mattia Banin, Virginia Di Nino, Laura Lebastard, Noémie Lecourt and Stefan Schaefer

Business investment: why is the euro area lagging behind the United States?

Malin Andersson, Valerie Jarvis and Michel Soudan

2025, volume 1

Natural rate estimates for the euro area: insights, uncertainties and shortcomings

Claus Brand, Noëmie Lisack and Falk Mazelis

From press conferences to speeches: the impact of the ECB’s monetary policy communication

Yıldız Akkaya, Lea Bitter, Adriana Grasso and Brian Amorim Cabaco

Changes to the Eurosystem collateral framework to foster greater harmonisation

Diana Gomes, Stephan Sauer, Ioana Alexopoulou, Calogero Brancatelli and Daniel Gybas

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Franziska Maruhn, Richard Morris and Michal Slavík

The economic impact of floods

Guzman Gonzalez-Torres Fernandez and Miles Parker

The role of demographics in recent developments in the unemployment rate

Clémence Berson, António Dias Da Silva and Marco Weißler

Are real incomes increasing or not? Household perceptions and their role for consumption

Georgi Kocharkov, Omiros Kouvavas, Adam Baumann and Luca Caprari

The outlook for services inflation in the United States and the United Kingdom

Filippo Arigoni, Baptiste Meunier, Isabella Moder and Adrian Schmith

2024, volume 8

Monetary dynamics during the tightening cycle

Ramón Adalid, Max Lampe and Silvia Scopel

Net interest income of households and firms

Gabe de Bondt, Georgi Krustev, Michal Slavík and Mika Tujula

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 2 August to 31 October 2023

Denis Lungu and Kristian Tötterman

A primer on measuring household income

Johannes Gareis, Omiros Kouvavas and Pedro Neves

Monetary policy and the recent slowdown in manufacturing and services

Niccolò Battistini and Johannes Gareis

Potential output in times of temporary supply shocks

Guzmán González-Torres Fernández, José Emilio Gumiel and Béla Szörfi

Geopolitical risk and oil prices

Massimo Ferrari Minesso, Marie-Sophie Lappe and Denise Rößler

US Treasury market conditions and global market reactions to US monetary policy

Magdalena Grothe, Ana-Simona Manu and Peter McQuade

2024, volume 7

Euro area fiscal position in 2024

Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Sebastian Hauptmeier, Nadine Leiner-Killinger and Philip Muggenthaler

Decoding revisions in policy rate expectations: insights from the Survey of Monetary Analysts

Yıldız Akkaya and Boryana Ilieva

The performance of Eurosystem/ECB staff projections for economic growth since the COVID-19 pandemic

Adrian Page

What consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation: changes in perceptions over time

Pedro Baptista, Colm Bates, Omiros Kouvavas, Pedro Neves and Katia Werkmeister

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Gwenaël Le Breton, Richard Morris and Moreno Roma

The impact of special-purpose entities on euro area cross-border financial linkages

Lorenz Emter, Fausto Pastoris, Carmen Picón Aguilar and Martin Schmitz

Geopolitical fragmentation in global and euro area greenfield foreign direct investment

Lukas Boeckelmann, Lorenz Emter, Isabella Moder, Giacomo Pongetti and Tajda Spital

2024, volume 6

Money and credit dynamics in the euro area and a comparison with the United States

Ramón Adalid, Silvia Scopel, Lucía Kazarian and Davide Malacrino

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 17 April to 23 July 2024

Samuel Bieber and Christian Lizarazo

Recent developments in wages and the role of wage drift

Colm Bates, Katalin Bodnár and Kathinka Schlieker

Findings from a survey of leading firms on labour market trends and the adoption of generative AI

Agostino Consolo, Guzman Gonzalez-Torres Fernandez, Richard Morris and Christofer Schroeder

Why are euro area households still gloomy and what are the implications for private consumption?

Alina Bobasu, Johannes Gareis and Dario Esposito

Accounting for nature in euro area economic activity

Mariana Martins Cardoso and Miles Parker

Labour productivity growth in the euro area and the United States: short and long-term developments

António Dias Da Silva, Paola Di Casola, Ramon Gomez-Salvador and Matthias Mohr

2024, volume 5

Ageing cost projections – new evidence from the 2024 Ageing Report

Edmund Moshammer and Joachim Schroth

The return on capital and its determinants in recent times

John Hutchinson and Arthur Saint Guilhem

Selling price expectations for services: what do they tell us about consumer price pressures?

Elena Bobeica, Joan Paredes, Théodore Renault and Flavie Rousseau

The dynamics of inflation differentials in the euro area

Anastasia Allayioti and Anna Beschin

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Catherine Elding, Richard Morris and Moreno Roma

What do recent surveys reveal about euro area business investment in 2024?

Valerie Jarvis and Barbara Schirato

Recent country-specific and sectoral developments in labour productivity in the euro area

António Dias Da Silva, Antonella Fabrizio and Matthias Mohr

Geopolitics and trade in the euro area and the United States: a de-risking of import supplies?

Ivelina Ilkova, Laura Lebastard and Roberta Serafini