Developments in mortgage loan origination in the euro area
Ramón Adalid and
Matteo Falagiarda
Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2018, vol. 5
Abstract:
Loans to households for house purchase appear to have grown at a moderate rate in recent years, despite very favourable financing conditions, the recovery in economic activity and dynamic housing markets. The annual growth rate of adjusted loans to households for house purchase was 2.8% in the first quarter of 2018, having increased gradually from slightly above 0% in 2014. However, when assessing loan developments, it should be noted that loan growth figures are usually reported in net terms, i.e. newly originated loans and the repayments of previously granted loans are considered together because statistics on balance sheet items are derived from stock figures. Given the long-term nature of mortgage contracts, loan repayments have a long-lasting impact on net figures, especially after a boom, and thus obfuscate the prevailing lending dynamics. Against this background, this box presents the results of a simulated portfolio approach which decomposes net lending flows into loan origination and the repayments of previously granted outstanding loans. Examining these two components separately provides a better view of current loan developments. JEL Classification: E17, E44, G01, D14
Keywords: amortisation rate; housing markets; loan repayments; new lending (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-08
Note: 483719
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