Model-based risk analysis during the pandemic: introducing ECB-BASIR

Elena Angelini, Matthieu Darracq Paries and Srečko Zimic

Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2021, vol. 1

Abstract: We augment the ECB-BASE model using the predictive dynamics of an SIR model in order to assess the interplay between epidemiological fundamentals, containment policies and the macroeconomy, investigating the macro impact of pandemic-related risk factors associated with a medical solution to the COVID‑19 crisis. JEL Classification: E1, E3, I1

Keywords: COVID-19; ECB-BASE; Epidemic; modelling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-02
Note: 338657
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbbox:2021:0001:4

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