Scarring effects of the pandemic on the global economy – reviewing recent evidence

Julia Doleschel and Ana-Simona Manu

Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2021, vol. 7

Abstract: This box reviews recent data for evidence of scarring effects stemming from the coronavirus (COVID-19) shock on the global economy (excluding the euro area). Taking a production function approach perspective, it analyses recent data relevant for determining the evolution of potential output and compares them with developments in the aftermath of the Great Recession. The stylised facts suggest that the level of global potential output has declined during the pandemic, albeit less than during the Great Recession. This decline can mostly be attributed to temporary factors, although more lasting damage may occur if people remain out of work for longer, loose their skills or become long-term unemployed. JEL Classification: E22, E23, E24

Keywords: COVID-19; Potential output; production function (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-11
Note: 2663204
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbbox:2021:0007:1

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