A new indicator of domestic inflation for the euro area

Annette Fröhling, Derry O'Brien and Stefan Schaefer

Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2022, vol. 4

Abstract: In this box, we present a new measure of domestic inflation for the euro area that takes into account the import intensity of HICP items. For this new indicator, the import intensities of HICP items are derived using information from national accounts and input-output tables. The HICP items with a relatively low import intensity are subsequently aggregated to a “Low IMport Intensity” (LIMI) inflation indicator. Differently to the literature, an empirical assessment is used to determine an optimal threshold for these import intensities. While the ECB’s inflation target is formulated in terms of headline inflation, the concept of domestic inflation is of analytical relevance to monetary policy, as it features prominently in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Common indicators of domestic inflation, such as the GDP deflator or core inflation, either include elements that are not directly related to consumer prices or exclude volatile components that may nonetheless be driven by domestic factors. The LIMI inflation indicator can complement the information provided by these other indicators in an assessment of the underlying inflationary pressures. JEL Classification: E32, J11, J21

Keywords: Import intensity; Phillips curve; underlying inflation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-06
Note: 2598157
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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