AI and the US labour market: effects on employment growth

Isabella Moder and Til Pommer

Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2026, vol. 4

Abstract: The adoption of AI is reshaping the US labour market, with its impact on employment growth varying across occupations. AI has led to a job reallocation, particularly disadvantaging occupations with a high risk of AI substitution compared to those with low substitution risk. An econometric analysis confirms that AI has widened the gap in employment growth between employment in high-risk occupations and low-risk occupations between 2019 and 2025. However, this divergence in employment growth has not translated into wage disparities. JEL Classification: E24, J24, O33

Keywords: AI; Employment; Labour Markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-06
Note: 2769592
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