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Tracking euro area labour market developments through restructuring announcements

Claudia Foroni and Nikolaos Papadatos

Economic Bulletin Boxes, 2026, vol. 4

Abstract: This box examines whether large-scale restructuring announcements recorded in the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) compiled by Eurofound contain economically meaningful signals of euro area labour market dynamics. We construct a net job changes indicator, demonstrating that its lagged values contain information on episodes of below-average employment performance ahead of official data releases. While ERM coverage is limited by construction, focusing on large firms and manufacturing-intensive sectors, it captures restructuring events in firms employing between one-third and one-half of the total euro area workforce, making it a timely complement to standard aggregate statistics. JEL Classification: C22, E24

Keywords: European Restructuring Monitor; job creations; job reductions; probability of employment growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-06
Note: 3243564
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