Richard Stone, Demand Theory and the Emergence of Modern Econometrics

Christopher L Gilbert

Economic Journal, 1991, vol. 101, issue 405, 288-302

Abstract: In 1945, the year Richard Stone first published on demand analysis, there was no consensus on how economic data should be analyzed; but over the decade 1945-54 least squares regression emerged. This process may be seen in Stone's work, but Stone also had a major influence on the emergence and formalization of the methodology. He was influenced by the Cowles Commission work, but did not see simultaneity as a major practical problem. His abandonment of confluence analysis was in part due its lack of statistical foundations, but also to his perception of residual serial correlation as a dominant problem in time-series econometrics. Copyright 1991 by Royal Economic Society.

Date: 1991
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