Unemployment Dynamics and Duration Dependence in France, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom

Gerard van den Berg and Jan van Ours

Economic Journal, 1994, vol. 104, issue 423, 432-43

Abstract: This paper analyzes unemployment dynamics in the French, Dutch, and U.K. labor market. It presents a method to distinguish between the effects of duration dependence and unobserved heterogeneity on the exit rate out of unemployment. It turns out that for British male unemployed there is strong genuine negative duration dependence. For French unemployed, there is no strong duration dependence during the first year of unemployment, while for Dutch unemployed there is nonmonotonic duration dependence. For all groups of French and Dutch individuals, significant unobserved heterogeneity is found. For U.K. male unemployed, heterogeneity seems to be empirically unimportant. Copyright 1994 by Royal Economic Society.

Date: 1994
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