Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect Exchange Rate in China and Japan? Evidence from Threshold Cointegration with Asymmetric Adjustment
Riadh El Abed,
Zouheir Mighri and
Abderrazek Ben Hamouda
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Riadh El Abed: University of Tunis El Manar, Facult des Sciences Economiques et de Gestion de Tunis, Laboratoire d Ing nierie Financi re et Economique, 65 Rue Ibn Sina, Moknine 5050, Tunisia,
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2022, vol. 12, issue 1, 28-36
Abstract:
In this article, we estimate the links between nominal exchange rates (JPY/USD and CNY/USD) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in China and Japan by employing monthly data during the period span from January 1997 to September 2020. The threshold cointegration approach focus in TAR, M-TAR, C-TAR and C-MTAR is used. Results indicate the evidence of asymmetric effect in the adjustment process to equilibrium and the M-TAR is the best model to detect threshold effect for the (CNY/USD-CNYEPU) pair and the C-TAR is the best model to detect threshold effect for the (JPY/USD-JPYEPU) pair.
Keywords: Foreign Exchange Rate; Economic Policy Uncertainty; Nonlinear Cointegration; Asymmetric ECM (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eco:journ1:2022-01-05
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