The Relationship Between Crude Oil Prices, EUR/USD Exchange Rate and Gold Prices

Benlaria Houcine, Gheraia Zouheyr, Belbali Abdessalam, Hadji Youcef and Abdelli Hanane
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Benlaria Houcine: Department of Business Administration, Jouf University, Saudi Arabia,
Gheraia Zouheyr: Department of Business Administration, Jouf University, Saudi Arabia
Belbali Abdessalam: Adrar University, Algeria,
Hadji Youcef: Adrar University, Algeria,
Abdelli Hanane: Department of Business Administration, Jouf University, Saudi Arabia,

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 2020, vol. 10, issue 5, 234-242

Abstract: This study aims to analyze and measure the nature of the relationship between crude oil price, EUR/USD exchange rate, and Gold price by using monthly data from January 1999 to October 2019. The result of data analysis using Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) shows that there exists a co-integration relationship between the price of crude oil in U.S. dollars per barrel (C.O.), and the interpreting variables in this study, represented in the Euro Dollar Exchange Rate (E.R.) and the Gold Price in U.S. dollars per ounce (G.P.). The relationship that happened only in a short-term one. Granger causality test result shows one-way causal relationship from the Euro/ Dollar towards oil prices; that is, the variation in the exchange rate causes changes in oil prices. Also a unidirectional causal relationship has been found between the gold price and crude oil price. The relationship between the study variables is positive.

Keywords: Crude Oil Price; EUR/USD exchange rate; Gold Price; ARDL (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 F31 Q24 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-05-27

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