The spillover effect of Chinese growth on South America: an analysis from international trade

Marília Fernandes Maciel Gomes, Gercione Dionizio Silva and Evandro Camargos Teixeira

Revista CEPAL, 2018

Abstract: China’s rising share of South American trade since 2001 has made that country’s growth a matter of huge importance for the continent’s economies. This study sets out to analyse the spillover effect of China’s growth on that of the leading South American economies (Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Colombia) between 1981 and 2014. It analyses whether the increase in China’s share of these countries’ trade since 2001 has altered that effect. The findings suggest that, while positive, it has remained substantially unchanged. The main conclusion from these results is that expanding exports from traditional sectors of the South American economies (commodities) is not enough for earnings to increase with China’s growth. The article emphasizes the importance of public policies designed to diversify South America’s portfolio of exports to China, such as incentives for exporting by non-traditional sectors.

Date: 2018-12-17
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://repositorio.cepal.org/handle/11362/44557

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecr:col070:44557

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Revista CEPAL from Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Biblioteca CEPAL ().