 Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotations with farm management practices under future pest pressureXing Liu, Heikki Lehtonen, Tuomo Purola, Yulia Pavlova, Reimund Rötter and Taru Palosuo Agricultural Systems, 2016, vol. 144, issue C, 65-76 Abstract: Agricultural practice is facing multiple challenges under volatile commodity markets, inevitable climate change, mounting pest pressure and various other environment-related constraints. The objective of this research is to present a dynamic optimization model of crop rotations and farm management and show its suitability for economic analysis over a 30year time period. In this model, we include management practices such as fertilization, fungicide treatment and liming, and apply it in a region in Southwestern Finland. Results show that (i) growing pest pressure favours the cultivation of wheat-oats and wheat-oilseeds combinations, while (ii) market prices largely determine the crops in the rotation plan and the specific management practices adopted. The flexibility of our model can also be utilized in evaluating the value of other management options such as new cultivars under different projections of future climate and market conditions. Keywords: Farm management; Dynamic optimization; Crop rotation; Risk aversion; Climate change; Prices (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:agisys:v:144:y:2016:i:c:p:65-76 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2015.12.003 Access Statistics for this article Agricultural Systems is currently edited by J.W. Hansen, P.K. Thornton and P.B.M. Berentsen More articles in Agricultural Systems from Elsevier |
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