Global sensitivity analysis of a pig fattening unit model simulating technico-economic performance and environmental impacts

A. Cadero, A. Aubry, F. Brun, J.Y. Dourmad, Y. Salaün and F. Garcia-Launay

Agricultural Systems, 2018, vol. 165, issue C, 221-229

Abstract: Livestock farming system (LFS) models are used to produce key technical or economic outputs. Current models simulate multicriteria performance of LFS, i.e. technical, economic and environmental outputs. Therefore, conducting sensitivity analysis (SA) of these models is increasingly challenging. We developed a pig fattening unit model which is a stochastic, discrete-event mechanistic model with a one-day time step. An individual-based model is used to represent the pigs. Our objective was to perform a global SA of this model while accounting for effects of parameters on all outputs. Due to the model's long computational time, we first performed screening SA using the Morris method to identify and exclude non-influential parameters, and then performed variance-based SA of the influential parameters using metamodels. The most influential parameters were mainly pig characteristics and the disinfection period. This study provides a generic SA sequence adapted for models with a high computational cost and multiple outputs.

Keywords: Individual-based model; Global sensitivity analysis; Scaled elementary effect; Livestock farming system; Multiple outputs; Life cycle assessment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:agisys:v:165:y:2018:i:c:p:221-229

DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2018.06.016

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