Combining system thinking and scenario building to visualize strategic futures for agricultural systems: The case of La Araucanía, Chile

Jaime Sanhueza-Aros, Fernando Peña-Cortés, Amor Ariza-Álvarez and Julio A. Soria-Lara

Agricultural Systems, 2025, vol. 225, issue C

Abstract: Conventional planning approaches at the regional scale are often based on forecasts or citizen consultations that assume the extrapolation of variables or trends, which is insufficient in complex and highly uncertain environments. However, integrating System Thinking and Strategic Foresight can be particularly useful for understanding, imagining, and planning complex territorial systems.

Keywords: Agricultural sustainability; Strategic territorial vision; Spatial planning; System thinking; Scenarios; Causal loop diagrams (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:agisys:v:225:y:2025:i:c:s0308521x25000307

DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2025.104290

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