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Changes in reference evapotranspiration over Northwest China from 1957 to 2018: Variation characteristics, cause analysis and relationships with atmospheric circulation

Ziyang Zhao, Hongrui Wang, Cheng Wang, Wangcheng Li, Hao Chen and Caiyun Deng

Agricultural Water Management, 2020, vol. 231, issue C

Abstract: The Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region (NX) in Northwest China has been challenged by water scarcity and drought for decades. In this study, to understand the spatio-temporal variation, cause analysis and relationship with atmospheric circulation of ET0 in Ningxia, ET0 and other climate factors at 20 national climate stations from 1957 to 2018 were analyzed. Results showed that ET0 in NX (Ningxia), NYR (Northern Yellow River Irrigation Area) and SMA (Southern Mountain Area) had increased significantly at annual scale, whilst the CAZ (Central Arid Zone) was the opposite trend, and ET0 had a trend of first rise and then decline from north to south in spatial distribution. ET0 was most sensitive to RH and Tmax at annual scale in Ningxia, while the greatest contribution rates were Tmax and SD. Ningxia was becoming drier in the past decades. The abrupt change in ET0 at approximately 1990, and it’s long and short period were 25a(15a) and 10a(5a) at annual scale, respectively. The four teleconnection indices could be used to predict changes in ET0 at annual and autumn scale, while the ENSO and PDO could predict changes in ET0 of summer and IOD and AO could predict changes in ET0 of spring and winter.

Keywords: Reference evapotranspiration; Spatio-temporal distribution; Dominant factors; Teleconnection indices; Ningxia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:231:y:2020:i:c:s0378377419314416

DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105958

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