Probability-density risk-maps for tourism during emergencies

Eleonora Pantano, Daniele Scarpi, Virginia Vannucci, Eleonora Bilotta and Pietro Pantano

Annals of Tourism Research, 2022, vol. 92, issue C

Abstract: •Emergencies negatively affect tourism as people are afraid for their safety.•We develop a dynamic probability-density risk model to map an area's actual risk.•Exploiting public data, an example on London, shows these maps' dynamic risk-representation.•We show that these maps help tourism during emergencies yet preserve people's safety.•These maps constitute a predictive model to formulate tourism scenarios and guide policy-making.

Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:anture:v:92:y:2022:i:c:s0160738321001377

DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2021.103259

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