The disposition effect does not survive disclosure of expected price trends
Olivier Corneille,
Rudy De Winne and
D’Hondt, Catherine
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 2018, vol. 20, issue C, 80-91
Abstract:
The disposition effect (DE) consists in investors’ preference for realizing gains over losses. One DE account suggests that this bias stems from a belief in mean-reverting prices. This account, however, was ruled out by Weber and Camerer (1998), who reported a DE when participants were presumably made aware of expected price trends. In two experiments, we revisited this widely cited study (i) by fully disclosing clear and complete information about asset price distributions, and (ii) by assessing the DE on more reliable measures. In Experiment 1, under conditions of full disclosure, a DE was replicated on Weber and Camerer (1998)’s measures but was not found on the more reliable measures. Experiment 2, which was high-powered and offered higher incentives, confirmed these findings. We conclude that the belief in mean-reverting prices cannot be ruled out as a contributing factor to DE. As additional insights, both experiments reveal that participants showed little convergence to optimal portfolio and diversified their portfolios even when diversification was sparsely effective.
Keywords: Disposition effect; Experimentation; Diversification heuristic (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)
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Working Paper: The Disposition Effect does not survive disclosure of expected price trends (2018)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:20:y:2018:i:c:p:80-91
DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2018.08.003
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