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House price bubbles in China

Yu Ren (), Cong Xiong and Yufei Yuan ()

China Economic Review, 2012, vol. 23, issue 4, 786-800

Abstract: In this paper, we apply the theory of rational expectation bubbles proposed by Blanchard and Watson (1983) to the Chinese housing market. The theory implies that negative returns on house prices are less likely to occur if the bubbles exist. Based on data from 35 cities in China, we find no evidence to support the existence of such bubbles in the Chinese housing market.

Keywords: China house price; Rational expectation bubble; Hazard rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (63)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chieco:v:23:y:2012:i:4:p:786-800

DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2012.04.001

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China Economic Review is currently edited by B.M. Fleisher, K. X. D. Huang, M.E. Lovely, Y. Wen, X. Zhang and X. Zhu

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