China's sovereign debt: A balance-sheet perspective

Jianguo Xu and Xun Zhang ()

China Economic Review, 2014, vol. 31, issue C, 55-73

Abstract: We analyze China's sovereign debt by constructing balance sheets for China's government and public sector. We find that China's government debt-to-GDP ratio is lower than that of most large developed economies. We also find the debt-to-asset ratio of China's government and public sector significantly lower than its own historical height (1998–2002). Local government debt is mainly to finance infrastructure investments. Local government debt risk is amplified by two mismatches. The first is the income-expenditure mismatch between central and local governments. The second is the maturity mismatch of short-term debt and long-term infrastructure investments. The maturity mismatch may cause short-term repayment difficulties.

Keywords: Government debt; Public sector balance sheet; Maturity mismatch; Capital returns (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 E22 H63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chieco:v:31:y:2014:i:c:p:55-73

DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2014.08.004

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