Small area estimation under spatial nonstationarity

Hukum Chandra, Nicola Salvati, Ray Chambers and Nikos Tzavidis

Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2012, vol. 56, issue 10, 2875-2888

Abstract: A geographical weighted empirical best linear unbiased predictor (GWEBLUP) for a small area average is proposed, and an estimator of its conditional mean squared error is developed. The popular empirical best linear unbiased predictor under the linear mixed model is obtained as a special case of the GWEBLUP. Empirical results using both model-based and design-based simulations, with the latter based on two real data sets, show that the GWEBLUP predictor can lead to efficiency gains when spatial nonstationarity is present in the data. A practical gain from using the GWEBLUP is in small area estimation for out of sample areas. In this case the efficient use of geographical information can potentially improve upon conventional synthetic estimation.

Keywords: Borrowing strength over space; Geographical weighted regression; Out of sample small area estimation; Spatial analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:csdana:v:56:y:2012:i:10:p:2875-2888

DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.02.006

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