Gradual tax reforms: If you like it, you can keep it
Sepideh Raei
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2020, vol. 111, issue C
Abstract:
One of the key practical challenges facing by tax reforms are their short-run welfare consequences. In this paper I focus on a consumption-based tax reform for which, despite long-run welfare gains it generates, welfare for some groups such as retirees, or the working poor, falls during transition between steady states. Using a life-cycle model with heterogeneous households, I show how to devise a transition path from the current U.S. Federal tax system to a consumption-based tax system that improves the welfare of current as well as future generations. In a nutshell, all households alive at the time of the policy change can choose when they want to switch to the new tax system, or whether they want to switch at all. I find that implementing a tax reform with this feature improves the welfare of 95% of population in the short-run, compared to less than a quarter of population in the conventional case with no choice. It takes about twenty years for half of the population to pay their taxes under the new tax code.
Keywords: Consumption tax; Tax reform; Progressive taxation; Transitional dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:111:y:2020:i:c:s0165188919301903
DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.103793
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